fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politics These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership 3 min read. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. In the main event, former light June 2, 2016. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The State Of The Polls, 2016. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. gold rush supreme second chance winners. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. ( Businessweek) In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. NEW TOWN . Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. So, the usual. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Today those numbers have flipped. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Transcripts by Erin Wade. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. I'm Galen Truk. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. Thats Changing. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. 266, the . The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. david senak now. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. 9 days ago. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. 450 episodes. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp This is the first episode. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Transcript of What The White House | Happy Scribe geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird.
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